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October 11,
2009
bryan@prepcasts.com
The curtain for the 2nd season
rises this week when District play begins. In this
round-robin system, the top two teams advance into the STATE
Tournament. Some thoughts, considerations, a few predictions
from our crystal ball.....
CLASS 6
District 1--Fox (6-1) brings in the
best record and will advance. Seckman and Oakville are both 4-3.
Oakville has dropped the last 2 ball games while Seckman doesn't
own any wins over a Class 6 team. I'm not sure that Oakville
will rekindle that incredible run of 2008 but I do think they'll
move to STATE round.
District 2-Lindbergh (7-0) with a
very stingy defense, smart offense and seasoned QB (Portell)
should win this District. SLUH (3-4) has the young exciting Soph
duo of Trevor McDonagh (QB) and Mitch Klug (WR) to lead the
offense past Ritenour (1-6) and Mehlville (0-7).
District 3-Annually, this foursome
provide us with some surprises in District. This year should be
no exception. Lafayette (5-2) has lost only to LIndbergh (7-0)
and Kirkwood (5-1) in OT. They appear to be #1 of this group.
CBC (5-2) has struggled a bit in the last 2 weeks-- squeezing by
Pattonville 17-12 and being spanked by VIanney 48-35 as Dalton
Hewitt threw for 6 scores. The Patriots of Parkway South (4-3)
have their usual aggressive defense but an inconsistent offense.
The Cadet-Patriot game should determine which team advances.
However, don't be surprised if Marquette (2-5), who is
improving, upsets someone along the way.
District 4-Defending Class 6
Champion, Hazelwood Central (7-0) looks primed for the long run
and should defend this District crown. Hazelwood West (6-1)
suffered their first loss last week against a very talented
DeSmet team (7-0). McCluer North (4-3) has made several trips to
STATE level play but doesn't have a win (in Missouri) of any
team over .500. Riverview Gardens (5-2) has dropped each of
their last two games after a terrific 5-0 start. I don't think
the North Stars can throw like DeSmet so it should be both
Hazelwood schools advancing. West will be a very tough #2 team
to be facing in the sectional round of STATE.
District 5-DeSmet (7-0) is probably
the safest bet to win their district in Class 6. The Howell
teams have demonstrated good growth and improvement in their
programs this year but they're playing for 2nd place and the
chance to move on. The Howell Vikings (6-1) knocked of FT Z West
to bring attention to this fast improving program. Howell North
(5-2) has lost both their games by a total of 8 points so they
easily be 7-0 also. We think the Vikes will advance in a
great game that will be on
www.prepcasts.com this week !
District 6-The Jays rule here! Jeff
City (5-2) has lost both their games to Rockhurst by scores of
20-13 and 33-19 but have trampled most other opponents. The Jags
of Ft Zumwalt West (4-3) have been beaten soundly in their last
2 games after opening up at 4-1. Meanwhile the Hickman Kewpies
(3-4) have been up and down all year. Troy comes in at 1-6.
We're going with Kewpies in a bit of an upset.
District 7-Rockhurst (5-2) is the
clear choice in this district. Both losses have been to teams
outside of Missouri. The other three teams present an
interesting picture. Joplin (5-2) of the Ozarks Conference has
scored over 300 points already this year. Lee Summit and Lee
Summit North are both 2-5 and compete in the Suburban Big 7 of
KC. My crystal ball shows a surprise pick in Lee Summit.
District 8-Only one of two Class 6
districts with every team over .500 (the other is District 4),
two good teams won't see Football in November. The talented Blue
Springs (6-1) team, we see as the favorite . Liberty (6-1)
should advance past Blue Springs South (4-3) and Rock Bridge
(4-3). The Bluejays powerful offense averages 38 ppg (which they
won't score in this district) and should be more than others can
handle. Liberty could be the best 2nd place district finisher in
Class 6.
CLASS 5-This
class is always the "dumping ground" in a sense. A district may
have 5 teams since this class catches the "odd" number of teams
and the highly unusual configuration of 11 districts make for
lots of fun in the STATE Tournament. Do you know of any other
tournament with 11 as the base ? Anyway...more important
thoughts...
District 1-All
teams in this district are grateful to be starting over!
Combined this foursome is 2-26 in 2009. Eureka (1-6) far below
their usual performance levels and Summit (1-6) should advance
over Jackson and Cape Central who are both 0-7.
District 2-State
ranked Webster Groves (6-0) comes in as the clear choice and
should advance rather easily to the Quarterfinal round. MCC foes
Chaminade (5-2) who have the run game with Rob Standard and
Vianney (3-4) who ride the arm of Dalton Hewitt (7000 career
passing yards) will decide more than the Marinist Cup in their
game. Both teams are coming off of huge conference wins last
week-- I'm going traditional here and choosing ground over air--Chaminade
in a game with over 70 total points.
District 3--Terrific
district here! All four teams are over .500-Kirkwood 5-1,
Parkway Central 6-1, Parkway North 5-1 and Parkway West 4-3. The
two teams that don't qualify could easily have won, or at least
finished 2nd, in many class 5 districts. It's the luck of the
draw. We're going with the athletic Pioneers of Kirkwood who
compete in the Suburban West (larger schools) conference and the
prolific ground game that Bob Bunton has assembled at Parkway
North to advance.
District 4-While
no one in this district can hold their head above the break even
mark, there are some talented teams. Finally, coming alive, the
Hazelwood East Spartans (3-4) will advance. The Spartans dropped
their first 4 games but have rattled off 3 consecutive wins. The
game between two 1-6 teams-Pattonville and McCluer will
determine the 2nd STATE tourney team. We like the very athletic
Line backing corp for the Pirates to prevail. Ft Zumwalt North
(3-4) has a better record than some but doesn't see Suburban
North foes week in and week out.
District 5-The
top two teams of the GAC North (Timberland (6-1) and Washington
(5-2) will square off with two GAC South teams (Holt 4-3 and Ft
Zumwalt South (1-6). While we think Zach Schneider has done a
tremendous job in his first year at the helm for the Bluejays of
Washington, we like the Wentzville teams--Timberland and Holt to
move on down the road.
District 6-This
district is comprised of Ozark Conference teams. Rolla (7-0)
state ranked under first year coach Josh Smith is the easy
choice to advance. However, I don't see them going through this
district unscathed. The Camdenton Lakers (5-2) under highly
successful coach Bob Shore (351-89-3) and Lebanon Yellow
Jackets (4-3) are the #2 and #3 teams of this competitive
conference. Waynesville, after a very sluggish start, has won 2
of the last 3 games and their loss was an OT 69-63 game to
Joplin. I expect the Tigers to upset someone and throw this
district into shambles. I'm looking for Rolla and Camdenton to
advance.
District 7-One
of the hybrids of Class 5 districts with 5 teams in the
District. Only two teams hold records over .500--NIxa (5-2) and
Ozark (4-3) and we're going to go with them to move on past
Parkview (2-5), Glendale (0-7) and Kickapoo (3-4). Nixa has
competed against several tough teams already and should win
District 8-Ditto
for district 7.. Lee Summit West Titans (5-2) and
Raymore-Peculiar Panthers (4-3) will knock out Belton (2-5) and
Spr Central (2-5). Ray Pec is now competing in the Suburban Big
7 conference of KC. These larger schools have toughened up the
Panthers for a long post season run in Class 5. Meanwhile,
the Titans only losses have been to Ft Osage (7-0) and Blue
Springs (6-1). A rematch of Ft Osage and Lee Summit West could
occur in Quarterfinal round.
District 9-Losing
the Championship in the Dome last year, Raytown South has the
taste for post season. We see the Cardinals (4-3) moving on out
of this district. Northeast (4-3) from the Interscholastic
Conference doesn't have any common foes for Raytown (1-6) and
Truman (1-6). Wait....my crystal ball is showing the Bluejays of
Raytown to be the #2 team ! The Raytown-Northeast game is this
weekend so we'll see about this crystal ball !!
District 10-Unbeaten
Ft Osage (7-0) leads the way in this district. The surprising
Winnetonka Griffins (5-2) should join the Indians in the post
season play. Wm Chrisman (3-4) has struggled against high
quality teams but could be a challenge. N. KC (1-6) is also in
the district.
District 11-Park
Hill Trojans (6-1) have lost only to Blue Springs South and last
week toppled Winnetonka 35-21. The Trojans are the easy choice
to win district #1. Park Hill South (4-3) have lost to three
very talented teams - Ft Osage 7-0, Blue Springs 6-1 and
Winnetonka 5-2 in 09. If they finish second, a rematch with Ft
Osage looms in round one. St Joe- Central and Oak Park are both
2-5 and can't be ignored in this district.
FOR A LOOK AT CLASS 5 DISTRICTTS ...continue..
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